Yay

There's a higher population density in europe than in the us, meaning there will probably be a higher slope.

In france we've got more cases now than before lockdown, and the government is showing no signs of wanting another one.

You are comparing different countries with absolute numbers, which means absolutely nothing. You should always use "per capita" numbers.

You are also using cases instead of deaths which heavily rely on mass testing policies to be accurate, instead of deaths, which are more reliable when comparing countries.

The current numbers are:

• Europe : 0.6 deaths per million with a steady rise since August
• India : 0.8 deaths per million rising since the start of the pandemic
• United States : 2.5 deaths per million going down overall since August

With that said, European cases numbers are more reliable now, with testing having been ramped up. So when Europeans see a steady rise there is reason for caution.

Of those 50,000, about 1-5% may die.

that's 500-2500 people. How is this, nothing?

good analysis imo